the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Archive for December, 2008

What About Algae Biofuel Hype

Posted by Jeff Id on December 31, 2008

I’ve been having a discussion with Eric Adler on biodiesel again on another thread.

Nobel Prize Physicist Needs a Calculator

I complained about our incoming science adviser under the Obamessiah acting as a politician by supporting untenable green energy policies. Eric isn’t a troll and deserves good credit for his points. He gave one link which I found interesting. Check it out.

http://www.unh.edu/p2/biodiesel/article_alge.html

It is from the university of new hampshire bio-diesel group. Something which should cause us to consider it with a skeptical (not critical) eye. After all if they found bio-diesel unworkable the wouldn’t have much to do. Think of it like asking an oil company about its opinion on oil’s role in global warming. Still these guys may have a point but as I have calculated a number of times on my blog, the devil is in the numbers. UNH Biodiesel (I’ll call it UNHB) has been good enough to provide calculations equivalent to my own so let’s see where the differences are.

Per the Department of Energy’s statistics, each year the US consumes roughly 60 billion gallons of petroleum diesel and 120 billion gallons of gasoline.

From the DOE we are currently up to 140 billion gallons of gasoline due to increased consumption and planning for less than 200 is unreasonable because of growth but let’s assume 140.

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The Future of Energy

Posted by Jeff Id on December 30, 2008

Many of us know that fission nuclear has been given a bad rap by extremist groups but there is another beast in development which in my mind represents the true “green” energy source. The trouble is twofold, first the technology needs more time but the second is that the many of the same extremists have already rejected it. People who think global warming is so bad should be screaming for money to be injected into it but I’ve heard nothing.

Fusion reactors have many advantages over fission but two stand out above the rest. First is they can’t melt down. If things go out of control, they shut off, that’s it. Second, they don’t generate the long half-life wastes that fission reactors do.

There is a major project being built in France called ITER, using hydrogen isotopes called deuterium and tritium helium is produced releasing huge energy. True alchemy!

fusion-pic

Link to ITER website is HERE.

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Nobel Prize Physicist Needs a Calculator

Posted by Jeff Id on December 28, 2008

chuMaybe the title should be Stephen Chu scientist or politician? I don’t know for sure but here is a man who knows full well that biofuels from corn are impossibly inefficient yet he supports expanding their implementation. He also knows that Nuclear power can solve his perceived CO2 crisis, yet is “concerned” about nuclear waste so there will be none of that.

Here is the article in the news which got me all wound up today. It’s from market watch.

Incoming energy chief bullish on solar, wind, biofuel

“He believes that a portfolio approach to alternative energy is necessary to address what he sees as a looming energy crisis,” Lazard Capital Markets analyst Sanjay Shrestha said. He “firmly believes that we are in an energy crisis and that the single most important issue is controlling carbon dioxide emissions.”

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Ten Early Warning Sign’s of Globalis Warminitis

Posted by Jeff Id on December 27, 2008

docpic

Globalis Warmanitis is a serious disease affecting hundreds of millions. The symptoms start slowly, even one or two of the early warning signs is enough. If you have a family member or friend experiencing these symptoms, act quickly and get professional medical attention. They could be the result of early onset Globalis Warmanitis an insidious disease which has reached pandemic proportion. Symptoms should be treated as an emergency as the progress of the disease can reach a tipping point with rapid unstoppable progression following. Serious end stage physical symptoms have been reported, including; dizzyness, blurred vision, urge to paint protest signs, hysteria, spontaneous nudity, hot flashes, confusion, dementia and eventually psychosis.

If you have any of these early warning symptoms, please contact The Air Vent immediately for guidance. All inquiries are kept 100 % public, guidance will be handled in a tough love manner by Dr. Id – B.S.M.D.

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No Consensus (The Climate Underground)

Posted by Jeff Id on December 26, 2008

There’s been a bit of sanity in the news on global warming lately. The notion of consensus is being beaten down. Here’s a nice article I read earlier which describes my own thinking pretty well.

Global warming rope-a-dope

The global warming scare has provided a field day for politicians and others who wish to control our lives. After all, only the imagination limits the kind of laws and restrictions that can be written in the name of saving the planet. Recently, more and more scientists are summoning up the courage to speak out and present evidence against the global warming rope-a-dope.

There is a little known fact about real scientists in the world. I have been repeatedly contacted by scientists in a wide variety of fields including meteorology and environmental sciences, whom have obtained my email from various methods including passing it between each other. From this I’ve been offered free access to papers through universities, ideas for other posts, offers of co-publication and a variety of other issues. Many of them don’t want their names mentioned and I will keep them confidential until hell freezes or they say otherwise. Most of the confidentiality revolves around the fear of consequences from taking an unpopular stance against AGW.

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Merry Christmas From the Air Vent

Posted by Jeff Id on December 24, 2008

It is a time of reflection and hope for the new year. A time when so many celebrate their beliefs, even those who don’t. It’s time to put aside our differences and look to what we all hope for the future. Its Christmas baby and there’s over a foot of snow on the ground!

The Air Vent has over 90,000 views since it’s inception in August, several top posts on wordpress and is still climbing. Of course its your contribution which makes this entertaining so thanks so much. I remember when The Air Vent started I made some post which said everything in life has consequences, except perhaps blogging to no one. With 12 clicks that first week I didn’t know what it would become.

Thanks to everyone for the great comments and I wish you all the best in the coming year.

Jeff

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NSIDC Issues Corrections to Webpage

Posted by Jeff Id on December 24, 2008

Based on The Air Vent post carried by Watts Up With That, the National Snow Ice Data Center has issued several corrections to the documentation of their sea ice area time series.

Most will remember my earlier post which plotted global sea ice trends. After initially concluding that the global ice level wasn’t decreasing measurably Tamino pointed out a problem in my analysis. After issuing my corrections, thanks and apologies to Tamino and the um…..thousands of readers of Watts Up With That, I went back to work investigating what was really happening to the ice area time series.

It was actually quite lucky that Tamino mentioned the step in the data and criticized me for not reading carefully (something which was mentioned in several comments on the various threads). When I first learned of it, I found the criticism was based on an entirely different set of ice area data with different source documentation. Still, I checked closely and found the tiny step in the time series and was convinced that I had missed something. I had spent a huge amount of time learning the data before I made my post so it was frustrating to say the least. Understand, I used several resources to check my work; not the least of which was the National Snow Ice Data Center (NSIDC) anomaly graph which has the same shape as the one I generated.

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Ban All Incandesent’s (A Not So Bright Idea)

Posted by Jeff Id on December 22, 2008

light-bulbf

Banning of the incandescent light is one of the favorite topics of the AGW movement. The theory is that the use of high efficiency florescent and LED based bulbs will save enormous amounts of energy. A number of countries have already put this legislation in place. Let’s take a look at some of the numbers.

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Here Comes the Snow

Posted by Jeff Id on December 21, 2008

Yeah, you can tell from the title I live on the topside of the world. A bit egocentric for sure but the winter is setting in here and it’s looking cold. Anthony Watts did a post on PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) which has recently shifted colder. A lesser known form of la nina the PDO is yet another regular oscillation in the weather system. One which doesn’t get the press it deserves simply due to its longer timescale.

pdo

Click on the picture to link to watts up.

The blue wedge region surrounded by the green is apparently the typical signature of the PDO cold cycle. What didn’t get enough attention IMO is the trend. By the trend we should have been expecting this event for some time. Fortunately for us, digital diatribes (link on right) kept up with the trend and laid it out several days before the main stream media and Watts Up picked it up. Take a close look at this graph.

raw-pdo

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Snowin in Vegas, Digital Diatribe Guy

Posted by Jeff Id on December 20, 2008

It’s Snowing Again… in Vegas!

Posted by The Diatribe Guy on December 18, 2008

Check this out.

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments »

Left Turn Clyde

Posted by Jeff Id on December 20, 2008

What three things do these three people have in common?

steven-chujohn-holdrenjane-lubchenco

1 – They all have extremist left wing global warming backgrounds.

2 – They all support hard CO2 caps.

3 – They all have been recently nominated to top positions in Obama’s administration.

Click on the pictures for some bio information.

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Satellites Quantify Rainfall/Temp – 5 Times More than IPCC predicions.

Posted by Jeff Id on December 19, 2008

NASA: Global warming to increase severe storms, rainfall

PASADENA, Calif. (AP) — The frequency of extremely high clouds in Earth’s tropics — the type associated with severe storms and rainfall — is increasing as a result of global warming, according to a study by scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif.

In a presentation today to the fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco, JPL Senior Research Scientist Hartmut Aumann outlined the results of a study based on five years of data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on NASA’s Aqua spacecraft.

For every 1.8-degree (F) increase in average ocean surface temperature, the team observed a 45-percent increase in the frequency of the very high clouds. At the present rate of global warming of 0.23 degrees per decade, the team inferred the frequency of these storms can be expected to increase by six percent per decade.

Everything was going fine until this last paragraph. Point two three, you sure big guy. Who says point two three, even GISS data only says 0.18/decade. The last decade showed little or no warming whatsoever. A flat line.

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Blogging is Great!

Posted by Jeff Id on December 19, 2008

I’ve thoroughly enjoyed this experience so far. What amazing entertainment, brilliant commentators and excellent drama. It was actually the Digital Diatribes of a Random Idiot which got me to start blogging. Joe’s site, with unique comments and truthful analysis encouraged my start.

I started blogging about energy and ice cores in August. I looked at how different forms of alternative energy have so many problems as related to oil, coal, natural gas and nuclear. After a short time Climate Audit posts led me to dig in to Mann 08 where I discovered deeply (and simplistically) flawed statistics.

Let’s look at some of the bigger events which have happened to the Id.

- Discovery that biofuels, wind power and solar are not technologically ready to replace existing energy sources.

- Uncovering multiple flaws in Mann08. A huge adventure for sure, after all this guy created Albert Gore’s hockey stick graph.

- I found that Mann 08 infilled data, pasting on a hockey stick on the end of 90% of the proxies.

The All Important Blade of the Stick Uses Less Than 5% of the Data

- I learned that Mann 08 used a correlation to temperature to sort proxies and throw out the data which didn’t fit his assumptions. Since this time I learned that this has been proven statistically incorrect by many authors.

Simple Statistical Evidence Why Hockey Stick Temp Graphs are Bent!!

Looking back there are some problems with my statements in this post but the math result was completely accurate.

—-

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A Bit of Backlash to AP Propaganda

Posted by Jeff Id on December 17, 2008

These guys must read the air vent too.

Scientists Call AP Report on Global Warming ‘Hysteria’

Scientists skeptical of the assertion that climate change is the result of man’s activites are criticizing a recent Associated Press report on global warming, calling it “irrational hysteria,” “horrifically bad” and “incredibly biased.”

They say the report, which was published on Monday, contained sweeping scientific errors and was a one-sided portrayal of a complicated issue.

This mirrors my post earlier.

AP Drinkin’ the Global Warming Coolaid

Listen to some of these quotes from this article.

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How Do These Things Happen

Posted by Jeff Id on December 17, 2008

I took some flack on how I missed such an obvious problem in the data. Well, things are rarely as clear as they first seem. Let’s look at the facts, below is a plot of the uncorrected bootstrap data.

ice-area-nh-bootsrtap

See the offset at 1987, no how about the same graph zoomed in.

ice-area-nh-bootsrtap-zoomed-in

There it is, that little scribble after 1987.5. That’s the entire difference between my first and second posts. But it’s worse than just this, here is some text from the actual pages.

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