Politicians + Scientists = Polyscienticians
Posted by Jeff Condon on February 26, 2009
Anthony Watts already covered this but it is important enough to take note of here after all the site URL is noconsensus. I originally thought of the name because I was going to blog about politics and science as well as global warming. I thought it applied to a wide variety of topics so it gave me freedom to post on anything.
Consensus in science is typically the result of many years of study and understanding with clear provable results. It has never to my knowledge been used to project an outcome centuries in advance without actual proof. The antarctic paper is a good example in that the data and construction are so obfuscated and under-verified I doubt now the result can be sorted from the mathematical artifacts. Yet this paper somehow passed through peer review cleanly enough to make the cover of Nature. It’s so obvious that by declaring a scientific consensus that the declaration is in reality politics that the very words self prove the political nature of the statement. If I claim 2 + 2 =4 and then shout scientists have reached consensus you might believe me but perhaps another scientist says just as definitively 2 + 2 = 11 and declares consensus. In reality that’s only because he used in base 3. My point is that the scientific community will only in the most certain of instances have consensus.
The political nature of the subject and the diffusion of AGW politics through the scinetists is obvious and clearly corrupting to the science. Does anyone think that this Antarctic paper would be on the cover of nature if the same unusual methods found cooling? Isn’t this supposed to be science before outcome?
Anyway, I recommend reading the link below because there is no consensus.
As I’m sitting here considering how Dr. Steig so childishly reacted to me like I wasn’t qualified to see the data and code of his paper, I feel now that the tables have turned and perhaps Dr. Steig is the one not qualified to do the math. I bet it’s a bit warm in the Antarctic over the last few days. Engineering school is almost nothing but math so I don’t mind learning new methods but now I wonder what they teach in climatology school (whatever that is).