the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Weather or not

Posted by Jeff Id on May 25, 2010

I’ve spent an entire week away from blogging now,  for the first time since tAV began.  It’s been rather nice this week, quiet, no outbursts, nobody to tell me how I’m a lunatic equal to Romm for my views (that I’m aware of).  Honestly, I’ve been completely uninspired, spent a weekend with the family and got sick the last two days, starting to recover now.  All in all, it’s a good break, it’s hot out with a bright blue sky.  I just can’t push myself to run more temperature numbers today, even though there is plenty to do.  The news is absolutely out of control and our glorious government is spending like a drunken pirate, doing the opposite of what we need on every front, but if you can’t figure that out I can’t help you.  No ranting today.

I look out my window as summer is finally coming,trees and flowers are blooming with green power as mother nature takes over again.   No doom and black skys, no failure of Nature to thrive, it is only our economy and governments which threaten.  Again last week, the scientists predict our doom from their silicon crystal balls, again the answer is to shut down evil capitalism, again governments around the world applaud and agree that more tax is the answer to our problems. Again, the falsified doom scenario’s are put forth, again, again……

I’m tired of the silliness of it, a few degrees of change in comparison to our food, lives and freedom does not balance in favor of the few degrees of change.  We can’t control it anyway but what the hell, just add some tax and Gaia will forgive all.  Fools, in my opinion, but fools are in charge of our world these days.

In the end, I’ll soon continue serious blogging, but today I looked out the window and decided to relax again…….

The weather seems fine to me.


29 Responses to “Weather or not”

  1. Schrodinger's Cat said

    Jeff,
    Enjoy your break. I, too, get frusrated by the global madness of the human race.

    You enjoy a good technical debate and I remember the recent one on IR radiation. A question that bothers me concerns water in all its phases. It is a major GHG. Clouds reflect sunlight. It gives negative and positive feedback. How do the GCMs treat water? I get the impression they ignore it compared with CO2, but then the limited warming due to CO2 raises the water vapour content of the atmosphere and huge water vapour GHG warming results.

    It all sounds a bit contrived to me. Have I got it wrong or is there another debate here?

  2. Thanks, Jeff.

    You are wise. We can’t fight insanity by acting insanely.

    At your leisure, take look at the “hornet’s nest” that NAS President Dr. Ralph Cicerone encountered when he tried to renew the warning of CO2-induced global warming on Physics Today.

    http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/news/42666

    Enjoy your rest, Jeff, and know that the universe is unfolding exactly as it should, despite mankind’s insanity.

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel

  3. KevinM said

    While Jeff checked out, somebody else loan me a brain:

    1) Increased atmospheric CO2 is theorized to cause ocean acidification by carbonic acid?

    2) Increased atmospheric CO2 is theorized to cause rising sea level by melting glaciers?

    In theory, we would be adding acid to a solution and diluting it at the same time. Is there a seat of the pants way to estimate d(solute pH decrease)/d(dilution pH moderation)?

    I understand I might have the whole premise wrong.

  4. Josualdo said

    KevinM said
    May 25, 2010 at 4:18 pm
    1) Increased atmospheric CO2 is theorized to cause ocean acidification by carbonic acid?

    2) Increased atmospheric CO2 is theorized to cause rising sea level by melting glaciers?

    Thought of it myself a few months back. If the sea doesn’t get less alkaline, then it’s because glaciers/icecaps melted. If the sea gets less alkaline, then CO2 acidified it.

    But you can also get it otherwise: if it doesn’t get less alkaline, then CO2 isn’t acidifying it, etc. Eh.

  5. Jeff Id said

    I looked back at my post, and the energy tax petition showed up. How nuts is that, guh yup we’ll sign our name and someone will listen!! Please people, I understand that you agree, but it’s a scam. They make money with your name and no politician listens. I’m going to have to try and stop the stupid ads in favor of better ones or eliminate the whole $50/month ad program.

  6. T. Paul said

    Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain. [Friedrich von Schiller]

    If you listen to fools,
    The mob rules [Black Sabbath]

  7. Tom Fuller said

    Enjoy the break. Slogan for the 21st Century: ‘Just Disconnect!’

    See ya when you get back.

  8. Mike J said

    Jeff, you are just going through a Maunder Minimum. You should get out more, go sailing, play golf, go hiking – anything to stimulate some Cerebral Id Warming.

  9. pete m said

    Best cure for feeling down – your babies smile. Go get some!

  10. Layman Lurker said

    Tough luck about the Wings too. It must be like getting salt rubbed in it with the Hawk fever going in Chicago. I can just imagine what it must be like. How long has it been since they won the cup anyway – 60 years or something?

  11. Mark T said

    Turns out the Residence Inn has free food and beer at the end of the day for guests. Nice way to end a long day pounding out code. It’s nice in Longmont, CO, too, warmer now at 7 then it was at noon. That and the US scored first against the Czech Republic! Enjoy your rest… I wish I had more of it than I do. That’s what 4-day weekends are for!

    Mark

  12. AEGeneral said

    Mmmmm. Free beer.

    I forgot all my worries there for a second.

  13. Gary said

    Jeff,
    Why don’t you just keep the dopey scam ads, accept the cash, and then do occasional posts mocking and exposing them? Sort of a reverse “last Capitalist selling the rope to hang him” maneuver.

  14. Gary…..lol…..

    don’t worry be happy….

    one more

  15. Sera said

    “Science has never drummed up quite as effective a tranquilizing agent as a sunny spring day.” – W. Earl Hall

  16. tonyb said

    It’s well known that Jeff (and all of us sceptics) get huge funding from big oil and big tobacco so I don’t understand why he doesn’t just let his large team of well funded researchers get on and run the blog for a few months whilst he travels gently round the country making speeches at 50,000 dollars a time-a sort of cut price but full value Al Gore. :)

    Come on Jeff, just chill out a little, enjoy your new babies first smiles and sounds, close your eyes and feel the sunshine on your face and allow the world to get into a clearer perspective again.

    All the best

    tonyb

  17. Paul said

    Jeff,

    The idea that someone will charge me $10, $15 or $20 bucks to add my name to a form letter or at the bottom of a petition that will be emailed or faxed to a Washington office never struck me as prudent.

    Living outside of the USA I not only have the opportunity to vote but to contact my elected officials as well as any other official I feel needs to hear what I consider common sense. So for a couple of bucks and as many hours I can contact the offices of my Senators and representative(only one house rep – I have property back in Vermont), and have a talk with the lead person in whatever office. Although due to the political stance back home I have had better luck and have established email communications with congressional offices outside of my voting state. IMHO talking for ten or fifteen minutes with the policy advisers on the phone has a greater potential effect than an email or letter.

    It often seems like shoveling sand against the tide. Sanity’s sake requires throwing our hands in the air from time to time so that we can take a break and recharge our batteries. Enjoy both the sunshine and your break. :)

  18. Beth Cooper said

    Jeff, what you need is a good book. Mantell’s ‘Wolf Hall’ is a fictional but well researched novel about Thomas Cromwell and Henry VII that I couldn’t put down. Or there’s always Hall’s Dalziel and Pascoe novels, earthy humour and very well written.

  19. Beth Cooper said

    Correction: “Hall” should read’Hill’ as in Reginald Hill.

  20. steven Mosher said

    There is lots to do on temperature!

    check with chad on ocean data, I’ve also got files of hadisst all processed, but chad has the complete GISS ocean ( they stitch together two datasets.

  21. tonyb said

    Mosh said

    “…they stitch together two datasets.”

    That just about sums up these ocean records-they are even more fragmented and debatable than the land surface records. Do they really tell us anything other than for those very small areas of ocean that have been consistently monitored for many years?

    By the way I met someone once who was responsible for chucking the bucket over the side in order to measure the water temperature. Haphazard, random and highly unscientific would be the best words to describe the process.

    Tonyb

  22. David S said

    Have a good rest Jeff – enjoy the baby while you can. It’s a very precious time and will pass very quickly, while this CAGW stuff will take years, if not decades, to run its course.

  23. timetochooseagain said

    Off topic, and a little different for me, as I’m sure many tAV readers are aware, a central issue with the climate debate is the “climate sensitivity”. Well, it suddenly occurred to me that there is something really nonsensical about the definition and concept, and it’s relevance:

    http://devoidofnulls.wordpress.com/2010/05/26/timescales-special-cases-limitations-etc/

    Now, I should note that I do think it matters quite a lot whether the warming within reasonable bounds would be small or large over the timescales of centuries, what has annoyed the heck out of me is what is being talked about is NOT the “equilibrium sensitivity” which is a rather obscure notion to begin with, and additionally the idea that this should be one universal quantity applicable in all situations linearly is just absurd.

  24. Lady in Red said

    I *like* you, Jeff. ….Lady in Red

  25. TGSG said

    It’s been a cool spring here in the great NW. Supposed to be some sunshine headed our way. Think I’ll golf. Jeff should keep his fingers off the keyboard (around here) for a day or two.

  26. PaulM said

    “…they stitch together two datasets.”

    In fact this sums up quite a lot of climate science, stitching together two non-comparable datasets to create a scary picture:

    * The C02 hockey stick, stitching smoothed ice core data with recent air measurements

    * The sea level rise, stitching a long period of tide gauges to a short period of satellite date

    * and of course the famous ‘hide the decline’ stitching temperatures and proxies.

  27. Carrick said

    TTCA:

    Now, I should note that I do think it matters quite a lot whether the warming within reasonable bounds would be small or large over the timescales of centuries, what has annoyed the heck out of me is what is being talked about is NOT the “equilibrium sensitivity” which is a rather obscure notion to begin with, and additionally the idea that this should be one universal quantity applicable in all situations linearly is just absurd.

    The equilibrium sensitivity is just used to convert CO2 concentration into units of radiative forcing. That’s useful as input to the models and for “everything else being equal” statements.

    You have to run the models to predict what effect that would have, and that’s where the nonlinearity shows up. If climate weren’t so complex, or our computers so hopelessly early 21st century primitive, this would be an easy problem to study.

  28. Doug said

    Good gawd, Jeff, take a break, enjoy the world. The natural world, anyway. You’ve been battling with monsters.

    Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster;
    And if you gaze into the abyss, know that the abyss gazes also into you.
    -Nietzsche

    Gaze at some flowers instead; you’ll be sweeter for it. This madness never seems to end.

  29. Thank you, Doug, for the quote.

    Nietzsche was exactly right:

    “Battle not with monsters, lest ye become a monster;
    And if you gaze into the abyss,
    know that the abyss gazes also into you.”
    -Nietzsche

    Climategate exposed the monster.

    An international alliance of world leaders with the UN’s IPCC, the US NAS, federal research agencies that the NAS controls (NASA, NOAA, DOE, EPA, etc), an international alliance of science academies worldwide, the Nobel Prize Committee, news media, science publishers, and scientific organizations that are using science as a tool of propaganda.

    I battled this monster for decades before Climategate, foolishly believing that the problem was only an irrational love affair of NASA officials for the Standard Solar Model of a Hydrogen-filled Sun.

    At my own expense I travelled to international conferences worldwide (Canada, Czechoslovakia, Finland, France, Germany, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Portugal, Russia, Switzerland, the USA, the USSR and Wales) including one in Sicily where Galileo once taught, to present empirical evidence that the Sun sorts atoms by mass.

    The battle consumed and almost destroyed me. To what avail?

    Good luck to you all. Meditation may help.

    With kind regards,
    Oliver K. Manuel

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