Posted by Jeff Condon on June 16, 2011
See, this is what happens when there is no time for deep research or calculation. You get opinions. Certainly, they are more informed than average but average doesn’t spend a lot of time at climate blogs.
Ice ages, ugly things those.
_____and Garden hose.
Starvation comes when Dana knows.
What I can say is that those with motive beleive that without human influence we would not only experience a flat temperature history but our future will remain the same! For tens of thousands of years.
What is better, prediction of the end of the world by 3C of flaiming doom, or a ten thousand year stability of climate! ???
No surprise that this should be the appropriate meme. I had forgotten the IPCC paragraph as pointed out by RB. Does anyone else detect any bias whatsoever in the language?
There is no evidence of mechanisms that could mitigate the current global warming by a natural cooling trend. Only a strong reduction in summer insolation at high northern latitudes, along with associated feedbacks, can end the current interglacial. Given that current low orbital eccentricity will persist over the next tens of thousand years, the effects of precession are minimised, and extremely cold northern summer orbital configurations like that of the last glacial initiation at 116 ka will not take place for at least 30 kyr (Box 6.1). Under a natural CO2 regime (i.e., with the global temperature-CO2 correlation continuing as in the Vostok and EPICA Dome C ice cores), the next glacial period would not be expected to start within the next 30 kyr (Loutre and Berger, 2000; Berger and Loutre, 2002; EPICA Community Members, 2004). Sustained high atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, comparable to a mid-range CO2 stabilisation scenario, may lead to a complete melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Church et al., 2001) and further delay the onset of the next glacial period (Loutre and Berger, 2000; Archer and Ganopolski, 2005).
Seems fairly certain to me. Why worry.