Roy Spencer, Missing Heat
Posted by Jeff Condon on June 27, 2011
This is a very interesting post by Dr. Roy Spencer on the failure of the ocean to warm according to models, more misleading by the IPCC of that failure, and a simple powerful demonstration which shows where models likely go wrong. It definitely deserves more attention. The result – a greatly reduced sensitivity of climate to CO2. Evey day the evidence mounts that model warming is overstated. Climate science and main stream media like to lump skeptics together because we don’t know X or we always say Y. There are strong reasons to be skeptical of global warming alarmism. It is impossible to cover every point with a short list, but some of my favorites include; The multi-model mean running 2-4X observed temperature trend1, The missing hot spot and The missing ocean heat. Roy’s post is definitely some of the strongest evidence I’ve read that the heat from climate feedback to CO2 just isn’t there.
I’m surprised the center of the internet WUWT hasn’t run it yet. Maybe they have now, I haven’t been over there yet today. Jeff
More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm: A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of Deep Ocean Warming
June 25th, 2011
NASA’s James Hansen is probably right about this point: the importance of ocean heat storage to a better understanding of how sensitive the climate system is to our greenhouse gas emissions. The more efficient the oceans are at storing excess heat during warming, the slower will be the surface temperature response of the climate system to an imposed energy imbalance.
Unfortunately, the uncertainties over the rate at which vertical mixing takes place in the ocean allows climate modelers to dismiss a lack of recent warming by simply asserting that the deep oceans must somehow be absorbing the extra heat. Think Trenberth’s “missing heat“. (For a discussion of the complex processes involved in ocean mixing see here.)
Well, maybe what is really missing is the IPCC’s willingness to admit the climate system is simply not as sensitive to our greenhouse gas emissions as they claim it is. Maybe the missing heat is missing because it does not really exist.