the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Gateway Pundit Video

Posted by Jeff Id on February 9, 2021

We have a video of a vehicle which is timed with the large Michigan vote drop in Wayne county. I don’t have time to expand on it but as I previously discussed and showed, this is the single most statistically anomalous event in the country. The odds of it being a real sampling of voter opinion were astronomically against. Now, after all votes in all precincts are nearing completion, a van drives up and drops off a huge load of ballots in the early morning hours when counting would typically near completion. There is no legally plausible explanation for so many ballots being delivered so late after voting completed. They are all in very neat post office boxes not being delivered by the post office. The van does seem to be rushing a bit for government work too.

Link to the article is here.

Statistically, the regional one-sided results are not within the realm of reason. Some of the clues as to how the fraud was perpetuated are coming to light.


Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »

The Future of America

Posted by Jeff Id on January 8, 2021

I do love Trump.

He did nothing wrong and shouldn’t panic. The problem is that he still wants to run so he’s afraid of the lack of support. Same problem a lot of politicians have.

In my opinion, the presidency is a job you take ONLY when you really don’t want the job. The fake conservative party is the true road kill this time. We see them very clearly right now. It will change my votes from now until the end of time. None of those conservatives who did not fight for truth are good enough. Not one.

The fight now shifts folks. Now we need to organize and fight for the citizen right to vote. Voting as a human right. Voting only once, as anything else is the theft of anther’s most basic human right. If each invested party (citizen) votes once and only once, then common sense will win and the uni-party fails.

Today common sense is wholly owned by true conservatives. Those who believe in the conservation of rule of law as a means of governance and believe in following and conserving the constitution as written. The left today isn’t John Kennedy’s party and doesn’t have a nickel’s worth of sense to rub together. There is no gray area where Democrats meet that low bar today so by its nature, this is a conservative (not Republican) cause.

It will be a long battle but the battle exists and must be met. I plan to find any organization, any method, any people who are like minded and will do my part to correct this destruction of human dignity. It cannot stand, or there will be war and strife for our children. Decisions cannot be made by a minority or those with no stake in the outcome. We left our children massive debt, a pile of laws so large that you cannot follow them, and a dysfunctional POS government which doesn’t adhere to its own law.

Time to fix it.

What drives me personally is data. Simple calculations from this election show that the vote fraud by Democrats was 20 million illegal votes. These are 20 million actual humans who’s right to vote has been stolen. Their most basic dignity taken in the dark of night such that bad people can alter government for the sole purpose of self. This is 30% over what their true support was in this election. We have two to four years to clean it up. No more.

It isn’t impossible, but it’s damned close. I will not yet go to war physically, but the cold war that we are forced into needs an army. We must monitor, expose and place everything we find in the eye of the public. Every rule must be examined and corrected. Lawyers, programmers, analysts, arm-chair sleuths. Anyone with an interest in fairness, human rights and the correct application of the rule of law now has an obligation.

I’m sorry for your new jobs folks. You lost a lot of your future time but the cause is just and you were not given a choice.

Find any way you can help.

do it.

I will.

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Comments »

Early Socialism in USA

Posted by Jeff Id on January 5, 2021

Grocery stores have been full here for my half-century of experience. I’ve never seen a real shortage of items of any kind. That was prior to COVID. Since then, we’ve had a lot of empty shelves. They are continuing to be more empty even now, nearly a year later. Not enough to be more than an irritant, but not what I’ve seen in the past.

Absenteeism is incredibly high across all businesses and supply of goods is difficult across most products now. It is also universally difficult to hire people, better than 6 months ago but very difficult. People have money and don’t really need to work.

In addition, in our leftist state, I believe that we have widespread unemployment fraud. A fair fraction of which may have been done intentionally by the state labor department. I say that based on little information but it is impossible to reach them, they have made false claims of attempted contacts and people are being paid full unemployment when legally they are not entitled. I believe this may be occurring because some of the work-at-home state employees, aren’t doing actual work. Either way, non-working people still have money in general because the governments of states like mine are handing it out.

I hope the trend changes soon. These shutdowns do nothing for COVID health and do a lot of damage to supply.

What happens when demand is high and supply is low?

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Georgia Hearings on Vote Fraud

Posted by Jeff Id on December 31, 2020

The link below is to a YouTube video of the fiery Georgia hearings yesterday on vote fraud. It confirms the results of my previous post on Georgia very strongly. Dead voters, fake addresses, fake names. etc.. I must be naive because these came in with very much higher percentages of bad votes than I had ever suspected. The data presented in this blog not only supports all of the claims but the voting data couldn’t have the patterns shown here without wide-spread ballot manufacture.

In addition Arizona held an event where citizens have been canvassing the neighborhoods for addresses with cast votes, looking for irregularities. They’ve found very high percentages of fraudulent votes (ten to thirty percent). Some folks have single letter names “A.Q.” and people who voted numerous times from the same address, under slightly tweaked names and birth dates. Also, some were even registered at state parks and offices as home address.

These fraudulent votes are NO accident. These are the result of a wide-spread plot to manufacture and distribute ballots by one party and only one party. They are caught red-handed and Rudy Giuliani made the point that this is only going to get bigger with time.

I wonder why YouTube hasn’t blocked it yet.

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments »

Regional Georgia Vote Analysis

Posted by Jeff Id on December 26, 2020

Summary:

Georgia election law in 2020 was changed to allow mail in ballots in a manner which circumvented the need for presentation of voter identification.  The reasons for this requirement are something reasonable people disagree on, but lack of voter identification presents a situation where voter fraud is of real concern. How would one determine whether a ballot was valid or whether someone had voted for another?  It is clear from witness testimony that in this 2020 election a large number of issues were identified during the vote count related to ballot identification.  Reports of these issues are widespread and included; same signature hundreds of times, consecutive addresses, vans full of ballots showing up late at night, individuals feeding ballots repeatedly into the counters, mismatched signatures, improper adjudication.  These issues persisted mostly across contested battleground states where election laws were changed in a similar manner to Georgia.

This study was directed at Georgia alone and was directed toward identifying and highlighting voting anomalies which would be expected if wide-spread vote manufacturing had occurred by either party.   The results are very clear and indicate that wide-spread vote fraud was initiated by some mechanism and was limited specifically to the Democrat party in Georgia.

Discussion and data:

The Presidential vote in Georgia county level voting tells an as yet unreported and significant story.  There are a group of just over a dozen Democrat leaning counties across Georgia which had very large increases in active Democrat voters in 2020 and particularly since 2012.  The problem occurs in that these counties increases were inexplicably missing the corresponding increases in Republican votes.  Other Georgia counties behaved as expected where both Democrat and Republican votes changed at or near historically anticipated ratios. The detail for all counties is reported in this article, however there are 4 very large counties in the Atlanta region can highlight the significance of the problem outlined here.  The four counties in particular are: De Kalb, Fulton, Cobb and Gwinett.  These were identified entirely by their change in Democrat votes from 2016 to 2020 (Figure 3).  In 2012, these four counties were split with two voting Republican and two voting Democrat and they voted in total 59% Democrat.   What is shown below is that these split-voting counties produced approximately 400,000 NEW Democrat votes in 2020 as compared to the 2012 election,  with an approximate net change of ZERO for Republicans.  The anomalies in these four counties are not the limit of the problem.   In the anomalous counties identified below, 98% of the votes went entirely to the Democrats whereas when the same methods are used on Republican votes, no anomalies exist.

In the plots below, pay attention to the scale at the right side on these plots as it does change.  Figures 1 and 2 are Democrat ONLY votes, Republican votes are not considered here and the change in votes represents the gains or losses from the previous election year.

Figure 1 shows 2016 and highlights the increases in the Atlanta region of Democrat votes during the 2016 election vs the 2012 election.

Figure 1

Figure 2 shows large scale increases in 2020, again in the Atlanta area of Democrat votes, this time from the Trump/Clinton 2016 election.  So we have two elections in a row where large scale vote additions were made in the Atlanta region.   Figure 3 shows the total for the two elections.

Figure 2

Figure 3 shows the 4 counties in Georgia identified in the summary.  They have added 393,000 votes for Democrats since 2012.  There were only 3.8 Million votes in Georgia in 2012 so this is an addition of 10% more total votes across the state of Georgia just in these 4 counties which is very significant in relationship to the margin of victory for Democrats in the 2020 election.  Below the 4 counties highlighted in the summary above, they are the only counties which plotted in red.

Figure 3

Figure 4 highlights three counties in the Atlanta area showing more than 2x the number of Democrat votes (greater than 100%), with the bright red county showing an increase in Democrat voters of nearly 3 times. These over 100% counties are different counties than the four referred to in the summary which is again why this problem is not localized to the four discussed above.   Most of the counties in the Atlanta area showed large increases in solely Democrat vote totals.  Some other counties below did show a large percentage increase but didn’t have a significant number of voters.  I sorted by that effect towards the end of the post.

Figure 4

As stated above, Georgia implemented new voting laws in 2020 which circumvented voter identification for mail-in ballots.  If all groups were treated equally, we would expect to see an equal (or at least similar) change in Republican votes in those same regions.  These following plots of Republican votes didn’t support that reasonable expectation, and our four counties found themselves highlighted yet again in 2016 for Republican vote losses, this time in green.

Figure 5

 

In Figure 5 above, from 2012 to 2016 the Republicans saw moderate gains in each county except for the Atlanta region where they lost large numbers of votes.

Figure 6 shows these votes as a percentage of the total votes.  These percentage graphs are only of Republican votes.  Republican votes went down dramatically in 2016 near Atlanta only, with increases almost everywhere else in the state.

Figure 6 – percentage change in Republican only votes.

Oddly, Figure 7 shows that from 2016 to 2020, the largest increase in vote for Republicans was in those same Atlanta counties. Again, Figure 7 represents Republican vote changes only.  At first glance, this seems consistent with the 2020 increase in total Democrat voters in this area but careful checking reveals that they were received at a much smaller ratio than the split voter base.

Figure 7

Keen observers might note that the Atlanta region Republican increases between 2016 and 2020 were very similar in magnitude and location to the losses from 2012-2016.   It’s like those same voters moved out in 2016 and came back for 2020.

Figure 8 shows the differences in Republican vote totals from 2012 to today.    The Atlanta region is again interesting because several of the counties which saw huge improvements in Democrat votes have NO significant increase in Republican votes.  Also, our favorite 4 counties show almost zero change for the Republicans.

Figure 8

Figure 9 shows the percentage change in Republican votes is added simply for comparison to the percentage change in Democrat votes Figure 4.  Our 4 counties show a change in votes of 4%, -9%, 0% and -4% for Republicans, whereas they showed state-wide record losses of Republican voters in 2016.  A summation shows that the Republicans had an approximate net zero change in votes between 2012-2020 despite the massive pro-Democrat addition of votes in this area during the same timeframe.

Figure 9

 

Below is the percentage share of total vote increase that went to Democrats. Values near 100% are particularly concerning.   Percentage values in Figure 10 often represent minimal changes in the total number of votes which makes the next figure (Figure 10) difficult to read, but it is added for completeness. I’ve sorted this problem out out for us in Figures 11 – 13.

Figure 10 –  Percentage increase in Democrat votes vs increase in Total votes in each county from 2012 –  2020

 

In figure 11, I’ve sorted by large changes in total vote >60,000 and our favorite 4 counties showed up again and are 94%, 109%, 100% and 108%.   This indicates that ALL of the new votes in these four counties went exclusively to the Democrat party. 

 

Figure 11

The shocking bit of data from these 4 counties is the total vote change since 2012.

Democrat vote change -> 393,717 Votes

Republican vote change -> -5608 Votes

Percent of Democrat votes of the total vote increase in these 4 (Figure 11) counties is 101%

These four counties voted 41% Republican in 2012 and showed zero gain in Republican votes since that time.

Below is another sorting of Figure 10 which shows the problem is not fully isolated to these 4 counties.  This plot is all counties where the additional votes went over 75% to Democrats and having a net change in total votes of greater than 5000 votes.

Figure 12

 

The total vote changes for these counties were:

Democrat vote change -> 529,118 Votes

Republican vote change -> 7825 Votes

Percent of Democrat votes of the total vote increase in these (Figure 12) counties is 98.5% (Again, functionally ALL new votes went to the Democrats in these counties.)

These counties voted 41% Republican in 2012 and 33% in 2020.

Figure 13 is the same plot as Figure 12. It is offered simply for comparison and uses the same filters as Figure 12 but is reverse by party.

Figure 13

The data for these improvements in Republican shifting counties was:

Democrat vote change -> 25451 Votes
Republican vote change -> 86470 Votes
Percent of Republican votes of the total vote increase in these counties is 81%
Percent of total Republican vote in these counties in 2012 was 81%

Democrat vote change 25451
Republican vote change 86470

Percent of the vote change that went to Republicans – 77.3%
Percent of the vote which went Republican in 2012 – 74%
Percent of the vote which went Republican in 2020 – 75%

Minimal change in vote ratio is exactly what you would expect in a typical election.

Conclusions:

Counties which showed large percentage improvements for Republican votes, were in almost exactly the historic and present day county ratio for Republicans and Democrats.  This means that in those counties, voting proceeded as expected in 2020.   In the counties of Figure 12, widespread voting increases went EXCLUSIVELY for a the Democrat party.  By identifying problematic counties and looking at the differences in vote count above, it is unavoidable to conclude that a wide-spread vote-manufacturing process was initiated to take advantage of the changes in voter law.  The regional distribution means these votes are unlikely to have been created by a computer software, but rather by manufactured votes. These votes appeared to have been distributed around the state to democrat leaning counties and are in the magnitude of >500,000 votes.   A forensic sampling of the ballots counted and applications should reveal similarities in large fractions of these new votes regarding ink type, signatures and other expected flaws.   The sheer magnitude of the half million one-sided votes means that Georgia’s presidential election was flipped by these votes to the Democrat party.

 

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments »

Odd Michigan Law

Posted by Jeff Id on December 16, 2020

So my Wife discovered that Michigan doesn’t do recounts if the poll book (book recording who voted) doesn’t match the number of votes. They claim it is illegal to do so. We found the law on the matter and while it seems clear to me, it doesn’t match what we’re being told is standard practice.

Sec. 871. (1) The board of canvassers conducting a recount pursuant to this chapter shall recount all ballots of a precinct using an electronic voting system unless 1 or more of the following circumstances exist:

(a) The seal on the transfer case or other ballot container is broken or bears a different number than that recorded on the poll book, the breaking or discrepancy is not explained to the satisfaction of the board of canvassers, and security of the ballots has not been otherwise preserved.

(b) The number of ballots to be recounted and the number of ballots issued on election day as shown on the poll list or the computer printout do not match and the difference is not explained to the satisfaction of the board of canvassers.

(c) The seal used to seal the ballot label assembly to a voting device in the precinct is broken or bears a different number than that recorded in poll records and the ballot labels or rotation of candidates’ names is different than that shown by other voting devices in the precinct and records of the board of election commissioners.

(2) This section does not prohibit the recounting of absent voter ballots tallied in a precinct using an absent voter counting board or in a precinct in which 1 or more voting machines are recountable, if the absent voter ballots are securely packaged and sealed.

(3) If a board of canvassers conducting a recount pursuant to this chapter determines that the ballots of a precinct are not eligible for recount under this section, the original return of the votes for that precinct shall be taken as correct.

(4) A board of canvassers conducting a recount pursuant to this chapter may conduct a recount by the following means:(a) A manual tally of the ballots.

(b) A tabulation of the ballots on a computer using a software application designed to specifically count only the office or ballot question subject to the recount.

(c) A tabulation of the ballots on a computer using the same software application used in the precinct on election day.

(d) Any combination of methods in subdivision (a), (b), or (c), as determined appropriate by the board of canvassers.

(5) If a board of canvassers conducting a recount pursuant to this chapter intends to conduct a recount on a computer, the board of canvassers shall first test the software application by use of a test deck to determine if the program accurately counts the votes for the office or ballot question subject to the recount. If the test under this subsection fails to show that the software application accurately counts the votes for the office or ballot question subject to the recount, the board of canvassers shall use another means prescribed in subsection (4) to conduct the recount.

History: 1954, Act 116, Eff. June 1, 1955

 

My confusion is that this law section 1 states the reasons you cannot use electronics to recount the vote if any of the below conditions are met. One of which is when poll books don’t match vote count. The rule does not explicitly say that you cannot count the vote manually.

Numerous papers have made the claim through others that it is illegal to recount the vote of any precinct which is out of balance.

Washtenaw County Clerk Larry Kestenbaum told The Michigan Daily that while some precincts are out of balance due to human error during elections, it does not influence the outcome. 

“Out-of-balance problems are extremely minor and don’t affect vote counts,” Kestenbaim said. “What they do affect is whether a precinct is considered ‘recountable’ under Michigan’s peculiar law, (and) if a recount were to be held, the out-of-balance precincts could not be recounted, and the original vote totals from election night would be used.”

Not sure if this is just a mode of practice or I’m misreading the law.  

Why this matters!

This matters because if you were a nefarious person, I know you are not, but if you were you were you would simply put the votes in that you want, and then make sure that the precinct is out of balance so your activities will not be checked.

Any thoughts or help would be appreciated.


Edit: When I say – put in the votes, this is a process which can be manually entered or the votes can simply be re-fed into the machine.

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments »

Bombshell!! Michigan County Breaks Law in Attempted Coverup of Problematic Vote Data.

Posted by Jeff Id on December 14, 2020

This forensic report of Dominion voting machines in Antrim county Michigan, was released today. The investigators report that there was an intentional deletion of the adjudication records of this server as well as the security logs. The deletion of the adjudication records was only done for this election, and all other older election records were untouched. In addition an unauthorized user attempted to delete all of the voting data. Each of these deletions and attempted deletions were illegal per State law.


Antrim county Michigan was the site of a several thousand vote reversal which was very poorly handled both in count and in the press. It was so bad that Allied Security Operations Group was hired per a court order to do a forensic analysis of the machinery in the vote.   

During the counting process, Antrim reported and corrected votes multiple times as shown below:

Figure 1 – Antrim county vote reporting 2020 presidential election

Of course you can’t read that string of vote numbers and walk away any smarter.   Something stupid happened.  

It may be of interest to the reader to note that I do NOT think machine error contributed significantly to the fraud in this election.  I think the majority of the fraud occurred at ballot level, and was caused directly by intentional removal of proper voter identification and validation in battleground states.  That certainly doesn’t preclude significant computer related issues.

Below are a few quotes from the linked document, but if you want to understand how shockingly bad this was, you will need to read the whole thing yourself.

Ballots which do not scan correctly are sent to adjudication. The analysts state that the rate of adjudication was unprecedented as compared to past elections and as high as 82 percent in one township. The adjudication process happens without meaningful observation and therefore is a key spot for fraud investigators.

All prior years left alone but 2020 is removed manually.

And there went the security logs. Odd how those things happen. All the old logs remained intact yet those pesky 2020 logs up and vanished.

I’ve used computers for over thirty years. I can program in a lot of languages, and have interfaced computers with cameras, robots, random production equipment, testing equipment, hacked software even, so many things that it’s difficult to remember all of them.

I can NOT tell you how to delete a windows security log file.

That is because I don’t know how. It doesn’t sound hard to figure out but if I don’t know something about a computer, then the county guy or lady running the voting operation doesn’t know either. Certainly not well enough to trick an investigator. IT guys love this kind of thing so I believe that the deletion of these records was almost certainly performed by an IT person at some level.

All of these deletions were illegal and seem a bit haphazard. The investigation is ongoing but perhaps we will see a little crack in the media wall of misinformation on vote fraud.

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Deep State End Game

Posted by Jeff Id on December 11, 2020

Today the Supreme Court of the United States refused to even hear a case by Texas regarding the blatantly fraudulent 2020 election on the basis that:

Texas has not demonstrated a judicially cognizable interest in the manner in which another State conducts its elections.

Texas, a state in America, joined by 17 other states, didn’t demonstrate an interest in a presidential election. A massively, blatantly, obviously fraudulent presidential election has been allowed to pass, but Texas (a state in our union) had no demonstration of interest in unconstitutional changes made to election rules by other states. Rules which were obviously meant to bias the vote toward the authoritarians who are being declared the victors. Worse than that, this acceptance of the fraud means that the cheating has been normalized. It’s federally allowed.

I’m a business owner and I have participated in a number of legal cases. In all of them, won or lost, I have as yet NEVER seen a judge make an intellectually accurate ruling. Every single one is nonsense, win or lose. In my experience, Judges seem to live in their own imaginary world where their opinion trumps any version of law. This behavior is the hallmark of authoritarians the world over which I imagine is a prerequisite for being a judge in the first place. This court ruling however, has a special place in the legal world as it has no basis in reality whatsoever. Not even a smidgen of actual law supporting this decision is available. Plenty of fear and plenty of unwillingness to do their jobs is evident, because there is no constitutional, legal or logical reasoning which drove this decision.

“Justices” Alito and Thomas state my point themselves:

Statement of Justice Alito, with whom Justice Thomas joins: In my view, we do not have discretion to deny the filing of a bill of complaint in a case that falls within our original jurisdiction. See Arizona  v. California , 589 U. S. ___ (Feb. 24, 2020) (Thomas, J., dissenting). I would therefore grant the motion to file the bill of complaint but would not grant other relief, and I express no view on any other issue.

The court has no discretion to deny this case, which they are ALL fully aware of, yet they did it anyway.

What it means is that by the gutless withholding of proper review of obviously unconstitutional acts, there will be no corrections to our voting system in the future. States no longer need legislatures to change law. Without that required legal pushback, the court has abdicated it’s authority. There is no realistic possibility that the authoritarian left will restore the citizen’s right to an equally weighted vote in future elections. Why would they? If you don’t believe me, watch Georgia’s runoff in the coming weeks for example.

It is an interesting fact that I attempted to personally sue Michigan for the changes to voting law this summer. Despite my experiences with law, this was my first attempt at initiating a lawsuit of any kind. My push was shot down by my own lawyers as no voting damage had yet occurred. After the election, and now that the damage was done, a Pennsylvania judge refused to hear the case on the basis that the challenge came too late. Another statement which has no basis in law. Despite the leftist slant of the article, it also mentions the same difficulty I faced when trying to sue Michigan before any damage was done. Without proper support from the court system, there was no opportunity in law for citizens to prevent this fraud. Now without supreme court support of the constitution, we can expect no recourse or future correction of law.

The cheaters have nothing to fear legally so our right to vote and have our vote count has been stolen permanently. Along with that loss, we also lost any chances for the United States of America ever having a constitutional republic under this legal structure ever again. The vote, the constitution, and all subsequent law has lost all meaning. The paper that the beautiful constitution was written on has been reduced to just that, a piece of worthless paper.

A useless, colorless piece of paper.

The left celebrates.

There is talk of war, but that’s all it is, talk. War without a common unified cause is nothing but violence and our society is far too brainwashed by government forces to act with a common understanding. Will war come? It will come eventually, but it may be generations of oppression and starvation before it happens. Make no mistake though, our children’s right to pursue happiness has been taken away without a constitutionally conservative shot fired.

It is easy to predict the economic doom and starvation which these authoritarian economic neophytes will cause. Worse than that though is the unpredictable application of laws. When laws only apply as a judges emotions wish them to, how will anyone accurately follow any of them? When prosecutors decide that some kinds of cases will be tried simply because that particular prosecutor doesn’t like the law, what is the job of the legislature? In China, they have had the problem of mutable law at least for decades. Irregularly applied laws cause citizens to pay off officials and officials to regularly shake down citizens. If you don’t pay, then no business license, no job, no school, no house, no college for children or relatives, no food etc….

I no longer can support America. Not because its concept wasn’t completely right, but rather because I have no say in its governance and that makes this a dictatorship. The left also lost their vote by the way, but they are too busy in the emotional thrall of their stolen election to figure it out. Perhaps when they are hungry and they change affiliation, they will realize that their own vote doesn’t count anymore either.

Much of our citizenry is so thoroughly brainwashed by the state media and schools, that they will not even admit that the evidence of fraud exists, let alone that it is shockingly blatant. Only those who count votes, make laws, and have the support of the state media will matter from this point forward. Votes are officially meaningless, so like Venezuela and North Korea, those who dissent will stop participating eventually leading whomever is in charge to then make voting mandatory – likely in the next decade. In other words, everything is as it should be in a newborn communist haven.

If there is any democratic country which will take me and my family, I’m interested in becoming a productive, law-abiding and wealthy member of your land. I’ll let others here figure out how to work in an economically, intellectually and legally bankrupt dictatorship. They can figure out how to employ the human drones which remain enslaved to the system. The newborn American dictatorship will come sooner than you expect for your guns, property, bank accounts, speech, and will continue to segregate and divide all individuals into groups to be gifted with fractions of the money taken from others. Chaos is their political shelter, so like COVID, expect quite a bit of that as well. The process has already begun.

We already see so many failures of socialism in this country. You can’t get healthcare in a reasonable time since Obamacare and it is unaffordable. We have empty shelves in stores for the first time in my half century. Public schools push leftist propaganda as hard as the main stream news and universities. As this new uni-party dictatorship takes hold over the next decade, watch how significant these constant discomforts become.

The whole of humanity lost so much in 2020 due to the fraud and cheating in America. With the loss of any ability to bring this problem to light in court, the situation is irreversible. There are a few legal chances which remain, however after 50 legal cases have been denied without any discussion, their chances of correcting any of this is almost as unlikely as the absentee vote in Wayne county naturally going that completely to a single candidate.

Posted in Uncategorized | 15 Comments »

Michigan – Linear X axis

Posted by Jeff Id on December 7, 2020

Do not tell us that this is about restoring trust in the voting system

when

this is about restoring a voting system we can trust.

You have better odds of winning the lotto AND being killed by lightening this month than naturally producing the vote ratios on the far right of the above graph.

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments »

Michigan vs Ohio

Posted by Jeff Id on December 2, 2020

I have a huge advantage over most in understanding this NYT dataset because I’ve spent a lot of time with it. It is easy to not realize that others haven’t seen other aspects of this data and the comparison can be enlightening. A couple of comments recently make the point that some of these insane pro-Biden ratios are believable to them. Basically, they make the conclusion that the cause could be just demographics.

Despite how it pains me, Ohio is a similar state to my home state of Michigan. Shared border, same size population, very similar industries, combinations of rural and city life. In Michigan, the secretary of state unilaterally sent applications for ballots to every registered voter. The one lawsuit against this practice failed because the fake judge claimed that these weren’t ballots but applications for ballots, so constitutional election law doesn’t apply and the state didn’t need to follow the law as written by the legislature. Anyone in Michigan in 2020, was able to fill any one of them out and mail them back in and an unobserved government employee would then choose whether to mail out the ballot. Conversely, those who voted in-person in Michigan were required to have identification presented, registration matched, signatures matched and addresses matched. This is done in detail by the poll workers at the time of in-person voting before you are allowed to even touch a ballot.

There are so many ways to cheat this mail in system, but the biggest one is right in front of us. Vote twice as numerous people have openly claimed to do. Send one mail-in ballot and then vote yourself in person. It’s up to the poll workers to decide if they will take the time to compare the addresses and voter names and reject one or the other. However, my wife and I personally received five applications with three of them, sent to people who have moved out of state — in other words, no way to check that we are them other than too many votes at a single address. Something no poll worker is EVER trained to look for as it is not part of election law.

I have a friend who received seven ballots for different people in Michigan. The seven had all moved out of the apartment and are very likely in different areas of the state or country. There is no harm done to nefarious folks who simply sign them sloppily and send them in because there is no proof beyond a reasonable doubt of who did it. The result is that if certain areas wish to be heavily over-represented in Michigan, the poll workers simply needed to accept the paper. These aren’t bad folks because they had no legal mechanism or data by which to reject those ballots.

That’s it — the big Michigan fraud. Not a computer glitch, not some dude hacking in, not some big pre-planned conspiracy outside of changing the rules, just accept the ballots. Very simple. Not that the other issues didn’t also happen because they also did but the big one, the giant no-conspiracy vote bias in Michigan, is right there in your face because there is no observation mechanism to counteract it.

Unfortunately, this bias in voting heavily favors apartment living city voters. Cities have a lot of people moving in and out of rentals, each time they re-register to vote (have a drivers license update), the old voter registration is not automatically updated. That is why in this and future elections but none prior to 2020, seven different ballot applications can show up at a single person’s apartment in Michigan — without any request from a voter.

It is very important to understand that in Michigan, before the Secretary of State unconstitutionally changed the voting absentee rules to automatically mail every registered person an application. Michigan already had unconditional absentee voting by voter request. We simply filled out a request form and a ballot was mailed to us. The only requirement was that we had to previously have registered to vote at some claimed address. Our previous addresses would still be registered and had been confirmed by ID as a valid Michigan voter at least one time in the past. This system could also be cheated without consequence, but not en-masse. This is important to understand because it means that there was no COVID safety NEED for an absentee voting rule change in Michigan.

Not a single prosecution or accusation has been made against a voter for multiple votes to date. Odd eh? I must be wrong……. Nobody voted twice.

Ohio, unlike Michigan, didn’t intentionally bias the ballots. They changed nothing significant in their absentee process as no changes were required for safety.

Enough yacking Id! Show me data!

Figure 1 – Ohio vote totals over ballot counting period. Data from Edison Research per NYT

Note that in the above figure, there are no blue triangles indicating ANY unusual vote percentages in Ohio. All cities and rural areas reported normally with nothing unusual showing up.

Figure 2 – Ohio vote distrbution. Log scale on x

You can see that we have a decent bell curve, probably a log type distribution but I haven’t done any distribution type testing. This point is more relevant when compared to Figure 3 below.

Figure 3 – vote distribution for Michigan.

Now in Ohio, the green and red bars are combined so the way to compare these graph is to imagine all the red bars in Figure 3 are also green. The reason for this difference is that had I split Michigan into two separate voting times per a recent previous post such that we could generally see some of the absentee count separately from the regular count.

Remember the x axis is a natural log scale so vote ratios of Biden/Trump of 3 on the x axis are 7 times more extreme than x values of 1. The likelihood of experiencing those red votes on the far right is extremely low.

Comparing Ohio’s distribution and Michigan’s, there is a distinct second smaller peak in the Michigan vote data. The Michigan graph has a distinct visual bi-modal distribution. You can visually see two separate normal distributions (mountain peaks) on top of each other. The large peak is centered perfectly on Ohio, and a second smaller peak centered to the right.

Interestingly, I did plot a fit to this smaller distribution previously, I just didn’t put it in the previous post. I have added it to Figure 4 below.

Figure 4 – Michigan data again with red distribution fit to after hours votes.

In Figure 4, the red normal distribution is a regressed (and y scaled only) fit to the red bars (votes after 3am EST). Note how well centered the red curve is over the smaller second normal distribution peak in the green bars. The red curve isn’t created using the data from the green bars, only the red but the center of the peak is very close. As most of the red bars (after 3am) represent absentee related vote counting, it is reasonable to assume that the green bars creating the second mountain peak of the smaller distribution are likely absentee vote counting done earlier in the evening. Now if we had access to the raw data, and could show absentee ballots make up this second peak, this would be statistically damning evidence in the state as these two voting groups were treated very differently as a matter of law. This is the type of distribution you would expect to see in a voting distribution if a biased group was allowed to vote multiple times.

So, all that being said. Ohio has large cities. Ohio has vote fraud too which is very slightly visible IMHO in the reporting data. That Ohio distribution (Figure 2) isn’t perfectly symmetric and normal, it has a bias in shape toward the right side of the graph. Ohio did NOT have unconstitutional rule changes to create the situation where voters are disproportionately counted multiple times based on city vs country lifestyle. Ohio also didn’t have any dramatically large unusual voting this time. This state has demographic distributions similar to Michigan but a very different election result.

Michigan’s state bird is the Robyn. A fine upstanding bird that. Perhaps we should change the bird to the dodo, as we are now the fraud capital of the United States.

Michigan does have a little competition in the multiple voting category though:

Figure 5 – Pennsylvania – same X axis scale as Ohio and Michigan above

See any similarities to Ohio or Michigan?

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Georgia

Posted by Jeff Id on December 1, 2020

Does anyone anywhere think Biden actually won Georgia? I don’t think so.

Similar to the last post, this one shows the biggest outliers in Georgia. They mostly came after about 4 am GMT or 11pm Georgia time. Each of them had election swinging magnitude, like all battleground states, Trump had no anomalously off center events. Blue markers in the first figure point to unusual entries.

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Michigan Vote Fraud

Posted by Jeff Id on November 30, 2020

The NYT published live data from Edison Research on their website.   Each entry withing this data is county or precinct based reporting of vote totals from the counted batches as they were completed.  There are very significant anomalies in these reported votes which can indicate nothing other than wide-scale vote fraud.

The below step plot is the total votes in Michigan as they came in.   The most unusual values are indicated with blue Triangles underneath them.   All 5 of these happened after 3 am, and all 5 represent large pro-Biden votes with minimal to no, pro-Trump component.

Figure 1

The steps were picked out as having a 0.5% or less chance of being part of the rest of the vote reports collected in Michigan.   There were 5 entries and all 5 went to Biden and all 5 happened after 3am.

The below graph shows how extreme these points really were.

In recent work, I’ve used straight ratio’s of Trump votes vs total votes to determine significance.  This gives symmetrical values between 0 and 1 with 0.5 being the situation where Trump has half of the votes.   In this article, I’ve used the natural log of Biden/Trump ratio.  This requires that all negative votes be eliminated but it mathematically clean as well.  The 50/50 vote occurs at log(B/T) = 1. 

The green bars show the distribution of the large vote entries prior to 3am Michigan local time.  These large entries are used to avoid rounding issues in the NYT dataset caused by their reporting methods. The time was chosen arbitrarily except that this was when many of the absentee ballots were counted, and these ballots were subject to different rules than regular votes.  No validation of voter information was made whatsoever.  Note the general right direction shift in the red bars which represent ballot count after 3 am, because this represents some of the expected shift toward Democrats in absentee voting.  Most of these votes still stay within the green bars and 6 of these large reports even went to trump.     

The print overplotted itself on the graph, this is what it says in order from left to right.

Percent likelihood 0.25208 Row 4545 Time 2020-11-04 20:55:38 Vote Difference B-T  27100

Percent likelihood 0.20651 Row 4550 Time 2020-11-05 00:29:28 Vote Difference B-T  16800

Percent likelihood 0.19212 Row 4500 Time 2020-11-04 12:14:51 Vote Difference B-T  23900

Percent likelihood 0.00173 Row 4449 Time 2020-11-04 08:50:10 Vote Difference B-T  49800

Percent likelihood 1e-05 Row 4495 Time 2020-11-04 11:31:53 Vote Difference B-T  135300

The far right bar representing 135000 votes entered has a likelihood of being part of the standard vote of .00001 percent.  One in ten million.  This is the single largest vote entry reported in the state of Michigan and it is the single most extreme. 

The story is even stronger than that though.  It is critical to note that this analysis would have shown extreme Trump votes as well, yet the five most extreme one-sided votes in Michigan were all in favor of Biden, all during the time when absentee ballots were being counted.  

The ballots in these five extreme entries were more than sufficient to change the outcome in Michigan.  They are statistically impossible without a bias toward one candidate.  This is evidence bordering on actual proof of significant fraud in the presidential election. 

To reach the level of a statistical proof, validation of this information requires a deep look at actual reporting events from each county.  The data Edison Research collected would be sufficient to verify this data and from the general appearance, would likely pinpoint the areas of interest.   While the election cycle is likely lost, vote integrity is the foundation of the United States of America.   Investigation of the counties and people involved needs to be pursued to the maximum extent of law. 

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More ‘no evidence’ to Ponder #2

Posted by Jeff Id on November 28, 2020

While every single media outlet prefaces any claim of vote fraud, they use the words unsubstantiated or without evidence or any other strongly worded claim trying to TRICK you into believing there is, in fact, no evidence of wide scale vote fraud. Nothing could be further from the truth. In my last post, I was able to identify battleground states, not by the huge number of votes cast but by being the states with the hardest pro-Biden votes in the entire country.

Michigan beat out California and Washington DC, as did Wisconsin and Georgia. These votes as registered are so far out of whack that they are a statistical impossibility.

Reader Amac78 left a link to a brand new website conceived of apparently over this exact same issue. This article has come to the same conclusions as I have and they have done a much better job communicating it than I have. If you even remotely care about fair elections, you will be shocked.


Anomalies in Vote Counts and Their Effects on Election 2020

In particular, we are able to quantify the extent of compliance with this property and discover that, of the 8,954 vote updates used in the analysis, these four decisive updates were the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th most anomalous updates in the entire data set. Not only does each of these vote updates not follow the generally observed pattern, but the anomalous behavior of these updates is particularly extreme. That is, these vote updates are outliers of the outliers.

The four vote updates in question are: 

  1. An update in Michigan listed as of 6:31AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 141,258 votes for Joe Biden and 5,968 votes for Donald Trump
  2. An update in Wisconsin listed as 3:42AM Central Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 143,379 votes for Joe Biden and 25,163 votes for Donald Trump
  3. A vote update in Georgia listed at 1:34AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 136,155 votes for Joe Biden and 29,115 votes for Donald Trump
  4. An update in Michigan listed as of 3:50AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 54,497 votes for Joe Biden and 4,718 votes for Donald Trump

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Extreme States

Posted by Jeff Id on November 27, 2020

I find the previous post today more interesting but I wanted to put this up. The following entries in the voting record during the election count were all 4X the rounding error and comprised of at least 85% Biden votes. Basically, I consider the battleground states on this list, to be regions where potential evidence of extreme intentional vote bias exists.

It is an interesting list of hard left voting regions and battleground states and nothing really in between. The DC stuff all came in at the same crazy 95% range so that is normal. Potentially the same situation for areas which border DC.

colorado
connecticut
districtofcolumbia
georgia
illinois
louisiana
maryland
massachusetts
michigan
missouri   
newyork
pennsylvania
virginia
wisconsin

Louisiana through one very large entry which happened right at the end. Look to local races for some of these leftist regions in my opinion. New York and Connecticut are good examples.

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More ‘no-evidence’ to Ponder

Posted by Jeff Id on November 27, 2020

I’ve been continuing to work with this New York Times voting data and have found a number of bits of data which are a bit interesting.

From my previous post, this data is presented as live information to the news outlets. It contains rounding errors which are a bit frustrating but we can still use this data.

In order to avoid critique of this rounding issue, below is Wisconsin data using only data greater than 4x the resolution limit of the rounded data. Most states counted the majority of mail in ballots after the primary count was completed. I used an arbitrary time of 3am local time on the 4th as a divider for the votes.

Green bars below are the number of vote reporting events before 3am on the 4th of larger than 4x the rounding limit in size that fell into the calculated ratio. For example there were 25 entries of votes that landed between .5 and .55 ratio of the Trump/Total Votes. So X axis numbers less than 0.5 are movements toward Biden.

The red bars are the number of votes having larger than 4x the rounding limit after 3am. All three were heavily weighted toward Biden but the one on the farthest left edge was a massive single reporting event which was of a magnitude of 118,000 votes which is 6 times more than enough to flip the vote in Biden’s favor. It is also of a size that is 53 times the rounding error in the Wisconsin vote so you can trust this entry for its rounded accuracy.

Focusing on this single extreme event, the odds that this event would occur at any size level of entry greater than 4x the rounding error were 0.41% based on a normal curve probability distribution.

The story gets even more interesting though. Below is the a histogram of the count size of significant vote reporting events (some of these are small because in early voting there were few votes yet tallied).

Can you guess which event we are talking about?

I didn’t think you would have much trouble. The single largest number of votes reported in Wisconsin is also by percentage, the single most extreme pro-Biden voting event reported in Wisconsin. It is also one of the last events, posted well after the magnitude of Biden’s vote deficit was well known.

Odd’s anyone?

Wisconsin doesn’t allow counting to stop once it is started by state law. This is interesting because many of the mail in ballots would be counted earlier in the day for smaller areas.

Anyway, the magnitude of this event is so large that there are only two possible counties it could have come from in Wisconsin, Milwaukee has 451,000 votes and Dane had about 338,000

Despite Milwaukee having 1.33 times more votes, Dane gained almost 50% more Biden votes than Milwaukee so I am suspicious that this entry came from Dane county. From the linked article:

In Dane and Milwaukee counties, more than 68,000 voters said they were indefinitely confined in 2020, compared to about 17,000 in 2016.

Just to re-explain the details of the mail in vote concerns of normal thinking folks. In Wisconsin, ballots can be submitted by folks to polling places across the entire state. It is up to election workers to validated addresses and signatures. If they don’t match, they are supposed to be rejected. Ballot rejections are a critical part of the voting process and if the rejections don’t happen at all, the vote count can be cheated. If the rejections happen differently from county to county, this can also skew the record. Critically, once the ballots are separated from the envelopes, the forensic history is lost because the names and addresses on the envelopes are no longer associated with the unidentifiable ballots. If fraud were occurring, you could surreptitiously separate the ballots from the envelopes, or perhaps not even use envelopes and create completely untraceable votes. Recounts are useless.

What we have in Wisconsin, is a single, highly skewed, reporting event which was large enough to flip the election. It was the most democrat vote and simultaneously the largest vote batch reported and it was done when the magnitude of the votes needed to flip the election were a known quantity. Also, this report doesn’t meet reasonable criteria at 0.41% probability, to be anywhere near the rest of the votes.

Not quite done yet. In addition, I looked at the direction of votes based on time. We do know that mail-in votes likely came in later but what does the vote magnitude look like over time.

The next graph is total vote ratio Biden/Trump. Above the blue line is Biden winning the total vote count. You can see that in our huge single vote reporting event flipped the election.

After most of the ballots were counted, 5 separate pro-Biden vote entries of significant magnitude were made. This is visible in the graph below:

From about 6am GMT onward, the graph above shows 5 large size voting events for Biden and none strongly for Trump. The last 3 large events were all very strongly for Biden. The dot’s close to the 0 line are large batches of likely absentee votes which went about 50/50 to the candidates.

With my days of time spent in this dataset, I have found a large number of crazy anomalies. Combined with the reports from witnesses and the endless video’s of fraud happening, I’m completely certain that massive election fraud not only existed but did flip this election to Biden. Feel free to draw your own conclusions though.

There is so much more you can find in this single state’s data. If we could get access to the time based reporting of each county with full resolution, a lot of the shenanigans could be quickly and more importantly, accurately identified.

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