the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Archive for November 22nd, 2009

Another Change, Neil Found this at Climate Audit

Posted by Jeff Id on November 22, 2009

You have got to see this. I’ve looked at the comments in several code modules but he found the best one so far. Remember Phil Jones now famous denial of knowledge as to what he meant about ‘hiding the decline’ in this post.

Busted- Phil Jones Doesn’t Recall Divergence

I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd [sic] from1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.

Check out this quote from the code – cudo’s to Steve Neil for digging it out.

function mkp2correlation,indts,depts,remts,t,filter=filter,refperiod=refperiod,$
datathresh=datathresh
;
; THIS WORKS WITH REMTS BEING A 2D ARRAY (nseries,ntime) OF MULTIPLE TIMESERIES
; WHOSE INFLUENCE IS TO BE REMOVED. UNFORTUNATELY THE IDL5.4 p_correlate
; FAILS WITH >1 SERIES TO HOLD CONSTANT, SO I HAVE TO REMOVE THEIR INFLUENCE
; FROM BOTH INDTS AND DEPTS USING MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION AND THEN USE THE
; USUAL correlate FUNCTION ON THE RESIDUALS.
;

pro maps12,yrstart,doinfill=doinfill
;
; Plots 24 yearly maps of calibrated (PCR-infilled or not) MXD reconstructions
; of growing season temperatures. Uses “corrected” MXD – but shouldn’t usually
; plot past 1960 because these will be artificially adjusted to look closer to
; the real temperatures.

;

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Time to do the Hard Work

Posted by Jeff Id on November 22, 2009

Well the media isn’t going to get this done, emails need to be sent to every congressman in the US, other countries need to follow their own procedures. People need to contact their own “representatives”. Blog commenter rephelan has the right idea- he left this comment earlier. There are significant issues that need to be understood to properly react to whatever the magnitude of the global warming threat really is.

Let’s keep this thread for people who left comments with their congressmen. Whatever these emails mean, it’s necessary to go through due diligence and find the breadth of the problem. Links to help people make contact more easily in any country can be left here as well.

I’m going to do my part in Illinois.

Time to contact your congressional delegation. You can locate their contact information here:

http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm

Sent this e-mail to mine:

By now you must be aware of the release of thousands of e-mails and documents from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University by what is probably a conscience-stricken insider. The e-mails to and from some of the leading researchers in the field and key players in the IPCC, document attempts to manipulate scientific data, control the scientific review process, subvert FOI officers, destroy materials that should have been preserved under FOI regulations to avoid release, and the use misleading and deceptive information to influence both the public at large and policy makers.

It is imperative that you get out in front of this issue and take the lead in calling for a congressional inquiry. So far, there has been muted reaction from the press, but you can find interesting articles here:

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CO2 is “Ultimately A political decision”

Posted by Jeff Id on November 22, 2009

This is absolutely stunning.

We have to think back to all the people who told us over the years that the IPCC is a “scientific organization” . This particular email has some huge implications in it which you really have to read a few times before you can close your jaw. I’ll bold some of the really shocking bits at the top but the rest is for you to work out.

If nothing else, read the first paragraph and try and wrap your head around -first, the concept and second, the beating down of others reasonable points. F…ing amazing.

From: Dave S
To: Shrikant J
Subject: RE: CO2
Date: Mon, 17 May 1999 09:21:35 -0600 (MDT)

I want to make one thing really clear. We ARE NOT supposed to be working
with the assumption that these scenarios are realistic.
They are
scenarios-internally consistent (or so we thought) what-if storylines.
You are in fact out of line to assume that these are in some sense
realistic-this is in direct contradiction to the guidance on scenarios
provided by the synthesis team.

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Cooling Masked From Public

Posted by Jeff Id on November 22, 2009

These emails don’t often need commentary, here are the main dogs commenting on how temps have gone down. Mike Mann, Gavin Schmidt and others at RC as well as Tamino at Open Mind have been working feverishly to cover this up. A blogger Deep Climate snipped my post for even suggesting that preferred filters were used. He didn’t want anyone to suggest that the elites would exaggerate the trend. Well here it is right in plain sight.

Statistically significant cooling being hidden on purpose – by alleged scientists!!

Busted again.

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Ten Things Everyone Should Know About Hockey Sticks

Posted by Jeff Id on November 22, 2009

This is an updated repost from a September 11, 2008. It’s was a popular post then but is far more relevant now that we see some of the bias in the recently released files. It has to do with hockey sticks in general but the graphs are from data used in Mann08, a paper by Michael Mann who is a key figure in many of the CRU emails. This post should also answer some questions of the newcomers at the Air Vent.

——-

Figure 1

Most of us have seen a ‘hockey stick’ graph like the one below indicating temperature. It and others like it have been repeatedly used to demonstrate the recent warming of the earth. But how was it created? Certainly there were no thermometers being recorded in 1000 AD.

Number 1 –

This data is considered the powerful evidence of man made climate change. This graph clearly shows it is hotter now than in the past. Scientists often quote the rapidity of the rise in the blade as the reason warming is man made.

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Posted in Uncategorized | 32 Comments »