The War on Reason Continues
Posted by Jeff Id on December 1, 2009
I’m oft accused of being a denier, a claim that I deny fervently. Well today a paper was accepted as peer reviewed literachur and lauded across the land by the ever unbiased press — Antarctic warming is worse than we thought. It turns out that the Ozone hole has been protecting the Antarctic ice from melting. Now that the IPCC has ‘fixed’ the ozone hole, apparently that’s now the reason to cause the ice to melt. In case I’m not clear later I’m going to have to deny denying that I’m a denialist on this. After all where would we be without honesty, a truism handed down to us by reporters across the land.
In glorious fashion, hundreds of articles with wonderous and fearful titles were spread:
Well for those in the six figure salary press who full time report on environment — don’t worry your pretty little heads about it, we unpaid bloggers have got this one too. Lessee, we need science right – water melts at around 32 F or 0C at standard pressures. So what is the temperature in the Antarctic:
The interior of Antarctica receives the most indirect rays from the sun which makes it cooler. For long periods in the winter it receives no sunlight at all. The interior has a very high altitude which adds to the very cold temperatures.
Because the interior of Antarctica is a land mass and far away from the ocean, it gets no warming effect from the water.The interior is characterized by extreme cold and light snowfall. Raging blizzards often occur, however, when winds pick up previously deposited snow and move it from place to place. Almost continuous daylight occurs during the southern hemisphere’s summer and darkness during the southern hemisphere’s winter. On the polar plateau, temperature is controlled by solar input, latitude and altitude. The annual average temperature is -50°C (-58°F). Winter temperatures drop quickly, then level out. Summer is short, from mid-December to mid-January, however, temperatures can reach a balmy -30°C (-22°F)! This is partly due to the increase in solar radiation, but also the surface of the ice is a little darker and, therefore, less reflective after the winter. A small accumulation of fresh snow at the onset of winter quickly restores the high surface albedo.
We have average inland temperatures of -50 C, average costal temperatures of -12C and this translates into large scale melting how? Perhaps we’re still missing the incredible complexity that is CLIMATE SCIENCE (booming voice). Well the scientists and reporterologists claim this in the links above:
Previous research had predicted sea levels would only rise by a couple of feet (59cm) by the end of the century, however this does not include melting ice from the South Pole.
The most comprehensive study into the impact of global warming on the region by the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR) found ice is already melting in the West Antarctic region due to an increase in temperatures.
So the ice is already melting in the inland region in the West Antarctic, I wonder if ‘running water has been sighted’:
The centre of the huge continent, that has been protected from the warming effect until now because of a hole in the ozone layer, is also due to warm in the future.
So the center of the continent, with an average temperature of MINUS 50 CELCIUS is going to MELT!!! Sounds scary. Lessee what West Antarctic temp station BYRD says about melting water….
I don’t see any temperatures above -10C in the middle of SUMMER hmm….. Let’s try West Antarctic Station Sipple ….
Nope nutin above -10 C, no bikini’s there either.
Ok here we go, Erin
In the December summer of 1996 we received a record high of -9.0 C .
Ya know, I ain’t buyin’ it. I just am not a believer in this. Can someone please tell me how these brilliant people have determined doom and destruction from MINUS 10C ICE MELTING.
LONDON (Reuters) – Melting ice in West Antarctica could add tens of centimeters to rising sea levels over the next century, according to a report by the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR) on Tuesday.
I don’t think so my friends.
Climate “sceptics” said the cooling of the centre of the continent and the growth of sea ice was evidence that global warming is not affecting the region.
But Professor John Turner of the British Antarctic Survey said the hole in the ozone layer has only temporarily protected Antarctica from warming. Since new rules outlawing CFCs have come into force the hole should “heal” and temperatures are likely to rise.
Odd statement— Sceptics say cooling is evidence that warming is not affecting the region. Ya know, I’ll throw in on that one. Cooling is typically not warming unless you’re Michael Mann flipping proxies upside down. The deep irony of this is that the Ozone hole was the IPCC’s founding issue so it’s true again, politicians are responsible for climate. It’s not weather or nature it’s politicians — and they screwed us again!! They took our money, messed up our Air Conditioning and melted the damn ice cap.
What about this:
Sea ice has actually increased by 11 percent around the Antarctic since 1980 due to stronger winds, changes in atmospheric circulation and the isolating effect of a hole in the ozone layer.
However, sea ice is declining around the Antarctic Peninsula as stronger winds bring warm, wet air into the region. Warmer water heats glaciers from underneath, causing them to break up.
Well lets see the sea ice trend from the NSIDC dataset. I’ve plotted it here with the square in the bottom left being a zero trend. Greener is growth, redder is shrink. It doesn’t look like melt is that big of a deal in the peninsula regioin (finger on left side). I see a little patch of red on the north side of the finger and at the tip. I guess maybe there is some trend toward melting.
Of course we should show the actual increasing sea ice area over time as well. This was also processed from the same NSIDC gridded data used for the above plot.
And of course I must finish this fun post with a reply to the comments about increased warming as it has been explored endlessly here.
Since 1980 there has been no warming of the Antarctic. Since 1950 there has been no statistically significant warming of the Antarctic. So with a hand wave from our illustrious scientists and an green light from the ever vigilant press —- it’s the fault of the ozone hole.
Well don’t take my word for it though, the paper is here it’s all based on fancy computer models and numerous other opaque studies. I’m pretty sure that no matter how much redefinition of melting climate science does the actual thermometers say too cold, the sea ice data says growing, the temperature data says no warming. I dunno what’s wrong with people when they buy this rubbish.