Uncertainty be damned. When in doubt – GO BIG
Posted by Jeff Id on May 5, 2010
I’m glad that climate science doesn’t let things like physics, common sense or reason get in the way of their models. They have taken the ridiculous uncertainty of modeling climate in the future and expanded the range all the way to 25F. Imagine Canada with Florida temperatures, ice hockey gone with the ice caps, evaporated in the sweltering environment. Proof that ever bigger budgets produce ever bigger computers which require ever bigger results.
Don’t let climategate stop you boys, it’s doom I say dooom.
Global Warming: Future Temperatures Could Exceed Livable Limits, Researchers Find
ScienceDaily (May 4, 2010) — Reasonable worst-case scenarios for global warming could lead to deadly temperatures for humans in coming centuries, according to research findings from Purdue University and the University of New South Wales, Australia.
Researchers for the first time have calculated the highest tolerable “wet-bulb” temperature and found that this temperature could be exceeded for the first time in human history in future climate scenarios if greenhouse gas emissions continue at their current rate.
Wet-bulb temperature is equivalent to what is felt when wet skin is exposed to moving air. It includes temperature and atmospheric humidity and is measured by covering a standard thermometer bulb with a wetted cloth and fully ventilating it.
While the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change central estimates of business-as-usual warming by 2100 are seven degrees Fahrenheit, eventual warming of 25 degrees is feasible, he said.
“We found that a warming of 12 degrees Fahrenheit would cause some areas of the world to surpass the wet-bulb temperature limit, and a 21-degree warming would put half of the world’s population in an uninhabitable environment,” Huber said. “When it comes to evaluating the risk of carbon emissions, such worst-case scenarios need to be taken into account. It’s the difference between a game of roulette and playing Russian roulette with a pistol. Sometimes the stakes are too high, even if there is only a small chance of losing.”
Yup, roulette, we need to shoot ourselves immediately so we can avoid the potential for…. What was that problem again?