the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Archive for July, 2020

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up

Posted by Jeff Id on July 23, 2020

Even Orwell couldn’t have predicted the state of our world.  The riots, masks and lies are all in competition for who can spread the fastest.   All of it due to an election where the candidate running against the president literally has dementia.   Real actual dementia, not the pretend kind that the media lies about with respect to Trump.

Biden Actually Said This: “I Had Nurses at Walter Reed Hospital Who Would Bend Down and Whisper in my Ear…Breathe in My Nostrils to Get Me Moving” (VIDEO) 

A complete fabrication of reality, right during an interview – from his basement – which he will not leave.

In case you are wondering,  that is effing stupid beyond reality.

Then we have Gretchen Whitmer who’s totalitarianism has been on full display since the legislature gave her 1 month of executive authority which she has extended indefinitely, thanks to some left wing Detroit judge making up law.   Gretchen single handedly has decided to defund the state police and department of corrections.   This blatant stupidity is as bad as taking elderly critical care people from the hospitals and stuffing them in nursing homes where there are no doctors – which she also did.  Plenty of trolls in threads are saying she was required to balance the budget so she did a lot of things.  Unfortunately, while she did de-fund other things, the numbers matter and that tells a different story.

Executive order 2020-157 (more than one per day including weekends) is based on a requirement that the state balance the budget, which this cannot do.  Our shortfalls are much larger than this EO, which is for $619,989,600.

Of the 620 million 507,739,200 came from the department of corrections and state police.  A whopping 81.8% of her executive order came from the police to correct for a budget deficit caused by unnecessary shutdowns of the economy.  Most of the money was taken directly from the overloaded corrections facilities. No laws have been changed to reduce occupancy of these facilities, just the funding.  You might ask how much of their budget is that?  Good question.

Here is a link to the state police budget briefing for Michigan in 2019.

So there was 777,900,000 in total funding for the state police.   Of that 115,070,100 has been cut or 14.7 percent less total budget to work with.   Of the state general funds, this represents a 23% reduction from the general fund.

Look at that tiny little green slice the state police represents.  Of that whole circle, this is where she decided to take money to reduce the budget. We have 25 billion in health and human services, but we’re going to defund the police.

You can see the department of corrections represents 2,019,056,200 or 2 billion dollars.   This was the primary cut she made and she took 392,669,100 or 19.4% of their budget –gone.   A truly massive change for a single year.   If you had the job of making this decision, can you truly imagine doing it this stupidly?   It is clearly political but the insanity of the Democrat party has reached new heights. We have riots which are being allowed, masks with zero science driving them, unnecessary and ineffective economic shutdowns, blocking of drugs that work for COVID.  Nobody sane can actually want this kind of governance.   Sure, I would like to see correction reform but to simply take the money and leave the same rules in place is pure insanity.

We have sheriffs who have refused to enforce the constant executive orders, not because they object but because there are too many to figure out what you are supposed to do.   They contradict, are constantly being rescinded and replaced.  Hell we had a huge one come out on a Monday and was replaced in its entirety on Thursday.  Over 30K in legal fees just trying to comply.  Completely nuts.

Why people?  I know some of you are really truly committed to the name Democrat, I hated it before but this ‘party’ is not even close to what it once was.  At least they dropped the bigoted lawmaking nonsense that they pushed on African descended people and randomly assigned their own history to conservatives. The cheat-by-mail fraud in this election will be catastrophic and likely the next big disaster created by these fools.  I have applications for ballots from previous homeowners, but I won’t use them.  I know of one person who lives in an apartment and received 7 applications.  Democrats will use them, and the politicians know it.

The constitution matters, laws matter as written, the judicial activism and totalitarianism are not going to be accepted without a fight and that fight may go beyond the ballot box.  Common sense matters, all lives matter, people matter but black lives matter is a Marxist front group for Democrat funding.  This Marxism and totalitarianism is on full display now, and also matters and cannot be allowed.

A little common sense wouldn’t hurt.

 

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Comments »

Good Quality Paper Demonstrates Strong Efficacy of Hydroxychloroquine. Mortality rate cut in half!

Posted by Jeff Id on July 3, 2020

Treatment with Hydroxychloroquine, Azithromycin, and Combination in Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19

A new study of over 2000 hospitalized patients reveals that Hydroxychloroquine works very well in treatment of COVID.  The reason I’m so excited about this one is because unlike the poor studies that I’ve written about already, this study controlled the dosages, use the correct levels of HCQ and Azythromycin per other studies, and matched patients to each other by their own health situations.  This matching of health condition is the proper method to control the confounding factors in a situation where testing cannot be double-blind.  The health of the patient is what the frustratingly fake studies didn’t correct for, but certain political pressures made them popular.

This is absolutely the most conclusive research produced to date by anyone, due mostly to the quality of the approach.  No one has published this quality level of work on HCQ on humans prior to this.

HCQ reduced deaths by half from the untreated patients.

Of note, this was a very large study:

The results of this study demonstrate that in a strictly monitored protocol-driven in-hospital setting, treatment with hydroxychloroquine alone and hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin was associated with a significant reduction in mortality among patients hospitalized with COVID-19. In this study, among one of the largest COVID-19 hospital patient cohorts (n = 2,541) assembled in a single institution, overall in-hospital COVID-19 associated mortality was 18.1% reflecting a high prevalence of co-morbid conditions in COVID-19 patients admitted to our institution.

And Safe:

To mitigate potential limitations associated with missing or inaccurate documentation in electronic medical records, we manually reviewed all deaths to confirm the primary mortality outcome and ascertain the cause of death. A review of our COVID-19 mortality data demonstrated no major cardiac arrhythmias; specifically, no torsades de pointes that has been observed with hydroxychloroquine treatment.

My bold of course.  That means that HCQ is still not dangerous folks!!

Look at this powerful result:

The Cox regression result for the two propensity matched groups (Table 4) indicates that treatment with hydroxychloroquine resulted in a mortality hazard ratio decrease of 51% (p = 0.009). The resulting Kaplan-Meier survival curves within the propensity matched setting displayed significantly better survival in the hydroxychloroquine treated group, with the enhanced survival persisting all the way out to 28 days from admission (Fig. 2).

Also:

 

I found it very interesting that the Azythromycin didn’t work as well in combination with HCQ but it did better by itself than no treatment.  I also found it a little overly deferential in its recognition of the bad papers which others have produced, but those who know me probably aren’t surprised by that.

I want to thank all of these researchers who did their job so well.  Saving lives the right way.

Samia Arshad, Paul Kilgore, Zohra S. Chaudhry, Gordon Jacobsen, Dee Dee Wang, Kylie Huitsing, Indira Brar, George J. Alangaden, Mayur S. Ramesh, John E. McKinnon, William O’Neill, Marcus Zervos, Henry Ford COVID-19 Task Force<ce:author-group id=”aug0010″>, Varidhi Nauriyal, Asif Abdul Hamed, Owais Nadeem, Jennifer Swiderek, Amanda Godfrey, Jeffrey Jennings, Jayna Gardner-Gray, Adam M Ackerman, Jonathan Lezotte, Joseph Ruhala, Raef Fadel, Amit Vahia, Smitha Gudipati, Tommy Parraga, Anita Shallal, Gina Maki, Zain Tariq, Geehan Suleyman, Nicholas Yared, Erica Herc, Johnathan Williams, Odaliz Abreu Lanfranco, Pallavi Bhargava, Katherine Reyes, Anne Chen

Well done!

Posted in Uncategorized | 10 Comments »

They REALLY Want It.

Posted by Jeff Id on July 1, 2020

New study on Antarctica makes all kinds of claims of global doom.  The newspapers are all out there saying the Antarctic is melting.  It feels like Steig 2.0.  It’s also in Nature — yet again.

From WUWT

 

So Amundsen Scott was dead flat back in 2009- which is what triggered the Antarctic blog wars.  Looking at the data it’s quite a jump in recent years.  —  My first thought was that it looks a lot like hockey stick blended data.  The abstract reads like a political add for global doom.

Over the last three decades, the South Pole has experienced a record-high statistically significant warming of 0.61 ± 0.34 °C per decade, more than three times the global average. Here, we use an ensemble of climate model experiments to show this recent warming lies within the upper bounds of the simulated range of natural variability. The warming resulted from a strong cyclonic anomaly in the Weddell Sea caused by increasing sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Pacific. This circulation, coupled with a positive polarity of the Southern Annular Mode, advected warm and moist air from the South Atlantic into the Antarctic interior. These results underscore the intimate linkage of interior Antarctic climate to tropical variability. Further, this study shows that atmospheric internal variability can induce extreme regional climate change over the Antarctic interior, which has masked any anthropogenic warming signal there during the twenty-first century.

We know the first sentence is a flat out lie. Trends have been stubbornly flat and they DON’T fit model predictions.   This is a huge bone of contention because without the Antarctic warming, the climate models are junk.  So I went straight to the temperature data.   My climate software is pretty old and working with it is a bit clunky so I went to RIMFROST, which posts raw temperature data from different stations.  In the actual thermometer data, there is a lack of significant upturn even to 2019 and is visually inconsistent with the new fake-doom article.  The south pole will not be melting soon folks – cause it is very very cold.   If someone has access to this wonderful article, I would love to read the magic even though I will likely be dumber for it.  I’m guessing special filtering makes the 2018 data point shoot right up even over 2013 like that.  Looking at the other end of the series 1957 exhibits the same departure from reality. We have seen that same mathmagic before, whereas in the thermometer data 2018 is below 2013. Without seeing the paper it’s only guessing on my part but the end point jumping that differently is a huge clue.   Magnitudes through the rest of the series are very similar.

Looking closely, they amazingly found a nearly 1C jump in 2018 compared to the 0.5C per the actual thermometer.  Of course that is the strongest point on a linear least squares trend.  Due to the oddness of the differences and past experience with alarmists, I would further ‘guess’ that the whole trend loses statistical significance when things are properly adjusted.

 

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments »