the Air Vent

Because the world needs another opinion

Posts Tagged ‘cooling’

More Evidence of Tamino’s Folly

Posted by Jeff Id on October 24, 2008

To Chris H, Raven and other posts. I do feel privileged to have the quality of comments I get, really it will keep me on my toes. Whether we disagree or not my point recently is to demonstrate some of the flaws in the math on global warming. Tamino has a good point which I cannot and won’t disagree with. His point is in an upslope in temp, assuming the weather noise we have, the local short term down slopes which WILL occur do not preclude a continued trend up. This post deals with your points.

BTW:I verified his ARMA post today, it seems valid to me.

However, — you knew that was coming.

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Tamino’s Folly – Temperatures did Drop

Posted by Jeff Id on October 21, 2008

Ok, the truth is I didn’t care before if the downward trend is valid. I’m just a bit annoyed that Tamino (at Open Mind) and Real Climate won’t let me post on their blogs about it. In this post I demonstrate the folly of his conclusions.

Tamino has made a couple of posts on how the last 10 year drop in temperature is not statistically significant so it isn’t real. He went too far in his last one and began claiming it was a tactic of some kind of creature called a denialist to confuse and confound the public.

Let’s see what Tamino has been saying on his blog link HERE.

Some of you might wonder why I make so many posts about the impact of noise on trend analysis, and how it can not only lead to mistaken conclusions about temperature trends, it can be abused by those who wish deliberately to mislead readers. The reason is that this is still a common tactic by denialists to confuse and confound the public.

I just hate bad science. First he points out how Bjorn Lomborg made some comments about temperature decreasing, after placing the ever more popular label of denialist on him implying Lomborg’s statements were intended to confound and confuse the public. Heres the main point of what Bjorn Lomborg said.

They (temperatures) have actually decreased by between 0.01 and 0.1C per decade.

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Another Reasonable Denier

Posted by Jeff Id on September 8, 2008

There seem to be alot of these guys.  Scientists who are not screaming catastrophe from the highest tower.  Heres the link

Global Warming’s Kaput; 2008 Coolest in 5 Years

The scientist says the same things I am trying to tell my  readers.

Predictions of a gradual increase in temperatures called global warming are erroneous, Velasco Herrera told a conference at the Centre for Applied Sciences and Technological Development regarding predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), according to Mexico’s melenio.Com.

The IPCC models and forecasts are wrong because they are based only on “mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity,” he said.

The phenomenon of climate change should include other kinds of factors, both internal, such as volcanoes and the very human activity, and external, such as solar activity, he said.

When one guy is screaming at you to change your ways and another guy is calmly showing the problems in his logic, who would you believe?

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