Good news for stocks folks – The End of the World is Moved Back —- again!
Posted by Jeff Id on March 22, 2014
It’s unfortunate that I don’t have time for blogging cause I’m sure there is some easy math to play with in this article by Michael Mann. The article is essentailly “climate porn” for believers who are still praying for the end of the world. In it, even he admits that temperatures aren’t rising, although he stays away from recognizing that climate model gods have failed him. The intent of the article seems to be to move the bar of absolute global doom – apparently because the last bar was missed.
Who could have guessed that in pre-apocalyptic earth, end of the worlders would have created such lucrative and easy jobs for themselves.
The title of the article was originally – False Hope. The text of the article leads us to the understanding that we have false hope that the world WON’T end, that hope being given to us by the fact that the world ISN’T warming as the hundred-plus billion dollar climate sandwich board industry predicted. None of those problems have reached the level where “Scientific American” is concerned about their own credibility, as they have prostrated themselves before that particular climate god so many times in the past that the practice of publishing climate based nonsense from the right people is reflexive at this point.
The new signpost of doom is planted by Mann, firmly in the soil at 2036 with this improved title.
Earth Will Cross the Climate Danger Threshold by 2036
Interestingly, Mann was able to write climate sensitivity levels far lower than I would have expected without himself being called a “denier”. There are plenty of contoversial statements in the article starting with this one which I challenge anyone to provide proof of:
Most scientists concur that two degrees C of warming above the temperature during preindustrial time would harm all sectors of civilization—food, water, health, land, national security, energy and economic prosperity.
I believe most actual “scientists” would say the opposite. Rather two C would be beneficial from food, water, health, land, etc perspectives. This national security nonsense is for the purpose of collecting money from that government channel and exists for no other reason. However, I don’t have proof of more scientists claiming 2C is good for humans than Mann’s fabricated claim that MOST scientists believe it will be bad. At least in my case I admit it.
The Two C by 2036 claim is most interesting because that is only 22 years away and we have only warmed about 0.8C since 1950 i.e. THE global warming years. Despite the pause, which he admits actually exists in this article, Mann is predicting a MASSIVE increase in global warming trend over the next 22 years of 0.6C/decade! Of course he does it by using a 3C climate sensitivity that other climate scientists have found to be over 2X what observations show. I think that even 3C puts him more toward the lower middle range of the now known to be defective climate models.
To my wonder, I found that for an ECS of three degrees C, our planet would cross the dangerous warming threshold of two degrees C in 2036, only 22 years from now. When I considered the lower ECS value of 2.5 degrees C, the world would cross the threshold in 2046, just 10 years later [see graph on pages 78 and 79].
The article is far more entertaining than I have written here but that is all I have time for at the moment. Feel free to copy your favorite bits below.